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MTN Reports 68.2 mil. Subscribers in Q1

25 Apr 08

MTN Group has reported a total of 68.213 million subscribers for the first quarter of 2008, representing a net increase of 6.86 million subscribers since December 2007 and a 54% increase on the previous year.

Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

MTN has reported 52.883 million African GSM subscribers: 20.107 million in South and East Africa, 30.505 million in West and Central Africa, and 2.361 million in Sudan, which is included within the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.

Implications

MTN's new operations in Iran and Afghanistan reported the fastest year-on-year growth at 735.6% and 313% respectively, followed by Guinea (154.4%), Guinea-Bissau (146.6%), and Sudan (100.3%).

Outlook

MTN is well ahead of rival pan-African operators in terms of total subscriber base and, following the acquisition of Investcom and other operators, has reported strong continued organic growth in its operations across Africa.

Within the group, MENA saw the fastest growth with 17.961 million subscribers by 31 March 2008—a 180.9% year-on-year (y/y) increase over the 6.297 million subscribers in the first quarter of 2007—and 3.666 million net new additions in the last three months alone. The West and Central Africa (WECA) region reported 30.505 million subscribers for the quarter—a 41% y/y increase over the 21.629 million in the same quarter of 2007—and 2.506 million net new additions since 31 December 2007. The South and East Africa (SEA) region reported 20.107 million subscribers for the quarter—up 22.2% y/y on 16.374 million recorded a year ago—and 778,000 new additions in the last quarter.

The MTN Group also reported a 42% increase in revenue to 73.1 billion rand (US$9.056 billion) in the year ending 31 December 2007. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) increased by 42% to 31.8 billion rand (see Sub-Saharan Africa: 19 March 2008: MTN Reports 53% Annual Growth to Reach 61.4 mil. GSM Subscribers).

MTN Group Subscriber Base - Q1 2008 ('000)

 

Mar 2008

Dec 2007

Mar 2007

Dec 2006

Dec 2005

Annual Growth Rate

South and East Africa

20,107

19,329

16,374

15,517

12,281

22.2%

  South Africa

15,169

14,781

13,030

12,483

10,235

16.4%

  Swaziland

398

380

286

268

213

39.2%

  Botswana

880

874

648

600

479

35.8%

  Zambia

352

262

227

187

97

55.1%

  Uganda

2,464

2,362

1,757

1,595

982

40.2%

  Rwanda

754

652

426

384

275

77.0%

West and Central Africa

30,505

27,999

21,629

19,622

13,149

41.0%

  Nigeria

17,766

16,511

13,384

12,281

8,370

32.7%

  Ghana

4,398

4,016

2,924

2,585

1,820

50.4%

  Cameroon

2,855

2,559

1,857

1,783

1,248

53.7%

  Côte d'Ivoire

2,896

2,679

1,975

1,625

1,080

46.6%

  Congo-Brazzaville

404

316

280

280

210

44.3%

  Liberia

351

304

236

218

109

48.7%

  Benin

679

652

514

476

268

32.1%

  Guinea

870

727

342

276

-

154.4%

  Guinea-Bissau

286

235

116

98

44

146.6%

Middle East and North Africa

17,691

14,025

6,297

4,912

2,624

180.9%

  Sudan

2,361

2,090

1,179

1,066

269

100.3%

  Iran

9,025

6,006

1,080

154

-

735.6%

  Afghanistan

1,462

1,200

354

218

-

313.0%

  Syria

3,158

3,109

2,381

2,237

1,465

32.6%

  Yemen

1,565

1,507

1,216

1,161

825

28.7%

  Cyprus

120

113

87

76

65

37.9%

Total

68,213

61,353

48,157

40,051

28,054

54.0%

Total Africa*

52,883

49,418

41,655

36,205

25,699

35.0%

Total Sub-Saharan Africa*

50,522

47,328

40,132

35,139

25,430

32.9%

Source: Global Insight

Outlook and Implications

MTN remains well ahead of its nearest rivals in terms of total subscribers within the region. Between them, the six largest mobile operators with regional footprints reported a total of 145.373 million GSM subscribers in sub-Saharan Africa (including Sudan) by 31 December 2007.

  • Vodacom reported a total of 33.041 million mobile subscribers in the five African countries in which it operates by 31 December 2007, a 17.1% y/y increase (see Sub-Saharan Africa: 29 January 2008: Vodacom Reports 33 mil. African GSM Subscribers).
  • Celtel (Zain) reported 30.702 million African GSM subscribers by 31 December 2007, including 26.819 million in 14 countries within sub-Saharan Africa and 3.883 million in Sudan (see Sub-Saharan Africa: 28 November 2007: Celtel Reports 24.8 mil. African GSM Subscribers). The Zain Group reported a group total of 42.501 million subscribers.
  • Orange/France Telecom reported a total of 22.255 million African GSM subscribers by year-end 2007 (see Sub-Saharan Africa: 21 February 2008: Orange/France Telecom Reach 22.3 mil. African GSM Subscribers).
  • Millicom reported a total African subscriber base of 5.672 million by 31 December 2007, a 66% increase on the previous year (see Sub-Saharan Africa: 15 February 2008: Millicom Reports 5.67 mil. African GSM Subscribers).
  • Portugal Telecom's subsidiaries in sub-Saharan Africa reported 4.285 million GSM subscribers out of a total subscriber base of 4.37 million (see Sub-Saharan Africa: 28 February 2008: Portugal Telecom Reports Strong African Growth During 2007).
 
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