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AstraZeneca's Q1 Operating Income Up on Currency Movements and Improved Efficiency

25 Apr 08

AstraZeneca appears optimistic about the future after an encouraging financial start to the year, progress with its regulatory ambitions, and a welcome settlement of its patent dispute.

Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

AstraZeneca turned in a respectable performance during the first quarter of the year, with sales up to US$7.7 billion. Despite a positive impact from currency movements and efficiency savings in its operations, the company's bottom line was trimmed slightly following restructuring and synergy costs.

Implications

AstraZeneca's sales were once again driven by its gastrointestinal and cardiovascular franchises. The company's restructuring programme has so far proven successful, as has the acquisition of MedImmune.

Outlook

AstraZeneca is on track to deliver low- to single-digit percentage growth in turnover at CER this year. The Nexium patent dispute settlement should give the company confidence to invest in its pipeline, which has seen some renewed success.

Anglo-Swedish pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca benefited from its restructuring efforts and a 6% positive impact from currency movements in the first quarter of the year. The group's operating income, as calculated by Global Insight, was up 5% year-on-year (y/y) on an as-reported basis to US$2.1 billion. Global net sales were up 10% y/y—or 4% at constant exchange rate (CER)—to US$7.7 billion. Sales growth was strongest in emerging markets, with y/y growth here at CER coming in at 11% y/y to US$981 million. Sales in the United States grew by 5% y/y to US$3.4 billion, adversely affected by product de-stocking. Western European sales grew by 9% y/y on an as-reported basis to US$2.4 billion, but fell by 1% y/y at CER.

During the first quarter of the year, the group's net income fell by 4% y/y to US$1.5 billion and its operating margin, as calculated by Global Insight, fell by 1.3 percentage point y/y to 27.8%. Operating expenses benefited from the company's restructuring programme implemented at the beginning of 2007 (see AstraZeneca: 2 February 2007: AstraZeneca Braces for Leaner Times with 3,000 Redundancies as Operating Profit Jumps 22%). Indeed, improved efficiency kept research and development (R&D), cost of sales, and distribution expenses at bay, with growth of 6%, 1%, and 8% y/y, respectively. The company booked US$32 million in restructuring and synergy costs in the cost of sales category and US$54 million in the R&D category. Despite efficiency savings, selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) costs were up an impressive 23% y/y to US$2.7 billion. The rise occurred as the company booked US$104 million in Merck and MedImmune-associated amortisations, US$31 million in restructuring costs, and US$257 million in impairment of intangible assets resulting from an "at risk" launch of a generic competitor to oncology drug Ethyol (amifostine injection) in this category.

AstraZeneca: Q1 2008 Financial Results (US$ mil.)

 

Q1 2008

% Change, Y/Y* (Actual)

Net Sales

7,677

10

Other Operating Income and Expense

121

-12

Cost of Sales

1,502

1

Distribution Costs

66

8

Research and Development

1,236

6

Selling, General and Administrative

2,737

23

Group Operating Income**

2,136

5

R&D Expenses as Percentage of Total Sales

16.1

0.7 pp lower

Operating Margin***

27.8

1.3 pp lower

Group Net Profit

1,505

-4

U.S. Sales

3,401

5

Western European Sales

2,405

9

Emerging Market Sales

981

21

* Growth calculated on an as reported basis.
** Global Insight estimate: net sales minus R&D, cost of goods sold and SGA expenses (marketing and sales expenses + general and administrative expenses).
** *Global Insight estimate: operating income as a percentage of net sales

Although they lost some sales momentum, AstraZeneca's gastrointestinal and cardiovascular franchises were the top earners in the first quarter of the year, with collective sales of US$1.5 and US$1.6 billion, respectively. Sales of ulcer treatment Nexium (esomeprazole) were down 9% y/y at CER to US$1.2 billion. Nexium's sales suffered from price pressures in the United States and global competition from generic omeprazole. Heartburn drug Losec/Prilosec (omeprazole) and antihypertensive Toprol-XL (metoprolol succinate) suffered at the hands of fierce generic competition as sales fell by 16% y/y at CER to US$252 million and by 60% y/y at CER to US$190 million, respectively. U.S. Toprol prescriptions are now dispensed generically in 87% of cases.

The respiratory, oncology, and neuroscience franchises all enjoyed growth in the first quarter of the year. Sales rose 7% y/y at CER in the neuroscience franchise, fuelled by anti-depressant Seroquel (quetiapine fumarate), sales of which rose to US$1 billion, a 10% y/y increase at CER. Anti-cholesterol drug Crestor (rosuvastatin calcium), its sales up 16% y/y at CER to US$772 million, carried on its progression and now holds an 8.75% share by volume of the U.S. statin market. Sales in the respiratory franchise were driven by asthma treatment Symbicort (budesonide, formoterol), which enjoyed 21% y/y growth at CER.

AstraZeneca: Q1 2008 Global Sales of Leading Products (US$ mil.)

Brand

Q1 2008

% Change, Y/Y (Actual)

% Change, Y/Y (CER)

Nexium

1,238

-5

-9

Losec/Prilosec

252

-10

-16

Other

20

-

-5

Total Gastrointestinal

1,510

-6

-10

Crestor

772

23

16

Seloken/Toprol-XL

190

-57

-60

Atacand

346

17

7

Tenormin

70

-1

-10

Zestril

59

-26

-33

Plendil

66

2

-6

Others

68

-1

-10

Total Cardiovascular

1,571

-5

-11

Symbicort

471

33

21

Pulmicort

411

2

-1

Rhinocort

80

-13

-16

Oxis

17

-26

-35

Accolate

18

-5

-5

Others

43

2

-7

Total Respiratory

1,040

12

5

Arimidex

430

7

2

Casodex

316

2

-5

Zoladex

255

2

-6

Iressa

58

12

4

Ethyol

14

NM

NM

Others

92

10

4

Total Oncology

1,165

6

-1

Seroquel

1,050

14

10

Local Anaesthetics

138

10

-1

Zomig

107

-

-7

Diprivan

68

15

7

Others

15

25

17

Total Neuroscience

1,378

12

7

Synagis

519

NM

NM

Merrem

213

20

12

Flumist

-

NM

NM

Other Products

55

-26

-28

Total Infection and Other

787

212

206

Aptium Oncology

98

-

-

Astra Tech

128

25

16

Total Pharmaceutical Sales

7,677

10

4

Source: AstraZeneca
NM: Non-meaningful

Outlook and Implications

AstraZeneca has reiterated its full-year guidance and has upgraded its predictions for earnings per share (EPS) on the back of positive currency effects. The company has had a positive start to the year. One of the biggest milestones achieved by the Anglo-Swedish giant over the last three months has been the settlement of its intellectual property lawsuit over blockbuster Nexium with Ranbaxy (see United States - United Kingdom - India: 15 April 2008: Settlement Reached on Nexium After AstraZeneca's Patent Infringement Win over Ranbaxy). Although a challenge by Israeli firm Teva is still ongoing, the deal has cooled down the threats of generic competition for Nexium for now and will ensure that AstraZeneca enjoys the drug's returns for the foreseeable future.

AstraZeneca has also made progress on the regulatory filing front. After a dry 2007, the giant has filed monoclonal antibody Numax (motavizumab) in the prevention of respiratory syncytial virus for regulatory approval in the United States (see United States - United Kingdom: 6 February 2008:MedImmune Files for U.S. Approval of Monoclonal Antibody Motavizumab). This is the first of three regulatory filings this year—the company is on track to file anti-diabetic drug candidate saxagliptin by the middle of the year and EGFR inhibitor Zactima (vandetanib) by the year-end. Additional revenues could also be derived upon regulatory submission of Seroquel in the major depressive and generalised anxiety disorder indications and Symbicort in the chronic obstructive pulmonary disease indication and for use in paediatric patients. Additional revenues from Symbicort will be all the more significant now that AstraZeneca has finished paying royalties to U.S. pharma company Merck on the product (see United States - United Kingdom: 29 February 2008:Merck Holds On to AstraZeneca Products).

So far so good for AstraZeneca then, which has seen its restructuring efforts pay off and growth in revenues from key drugs offset losses inflicted by copycat drugs. The giant has even bounced back to some extent on the pipeline front (see United Kingdom: 31 March 2008: AstraZeneca Terminates Crestor Trial Early as Drug Shines).
 
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