First-quarter 2008 data so far indicates robust broadband growth is continuing, which is to the benefit of Svyazinvest.
Global Insight Perspective
Significance
Russia's leading broadband providers are reporting annual subscriber growth rates of over 100%.
Implications
This is helping to push Svyazinvest units into positive revenue growth.
Outlook
Such growth will drive convergence plays and the entry of new players into the market.
Selected Broadband Subscriber Data ('000s)—Russia
Main Technology
Q1 2007
Q4 2007
Q1 2008
% Growth Y/Y
% Growth Q/Q
CenterTelecom
xDSL
154.1
304.0
374.1
142.7
23.0
Comstar-UTS
xDSL
411.8
743.0
848.0
105.9
14.4
Dalsvyaz
xDSL
97.0
159.9
186.3
92.0
16.5
ER-Telekom
Cable Modem
N/A
240.4
298.9
N/A
24.3
North-West Telecom
xDSL
N/A
364.6
N/A
N/A
N/A
SibirTelecom
xDSL
89.0
196.9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Southern Telecom
xDSL
92.7
169.6
202.8
118.8
19.6
Uralsvyazinform
xDSL
152.4
294.6
N/A
N/A
N/A
VolgaTelecom
xDSL
154.6
372.5
468.3
203.0
25.7
Source: Global Insight
Outlook and Implications
Broadband the Growth Driver: The latest regional fixed-line incumbent to reports its first quarter of 2008 results reflects the ongoing story of broadband as the growth driver at Svyazinvest. In the first quarter of 2008, revenues from data and internet services grew by 63%, compared to a 4.8% growth in local telephony and 1.4% growth in long-distance telephony. Given the relatively weak exposure of the Svyazinvest units to the mobile market, it is imperative that they maintain and expand their share of the broadband market in their respective regions.
New Services and Market Entrants: Such growth, as well as the ongoing trend of convergence, is also driving both new, broadband-based services and the entry of new players into the market (see Russia: 22 April 2008: North-West Telecom Begins Testing Regional Triple-Play Service) . Earlier in May 2008, VimpelCom, which now controls Golden Telecom, was denied WiMAX frequencies (see Russia: 8 May 2008: VimpelCom Misses Out on WiMAX Licences in Russia). Its peer, MTS, is also considering broadband deployment (see Russia: 23 April 2008: MTS Mulling Fixed Broadband Roll-Out).