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Porsche SUV to be Incorporated into VW's U.S. Production Plans—Report

14 May 08

Porsche is looking to benefit from Volkswagen's proposed investment in a new U.S. production facility by launching production of the Cayenne SUV.

Global Insight Perspective

 

Significance

VW is set to proceed with plans to restart production in the United States and is likely to manufacture the Porsche Cayenne range of SUVs at the facility as a result of Porsche's plans to take a majority stake in VW.

Implications

Establishing a major manufacturing site in the United States will insulate the VW Group and Porsche against the increasingly punitive effect of the weakness of the U.S. dollar on European carmakers.

Outlook

The United States has been the one major weakness in VW's global production and sales network over the past decade. The new plant will help address this weakness and Porsche's ownership of VW is likely to see more examples of shared production sites and other close collaborative strategies.

According to a report in the German newspaper Handelsblatt Volkswagen (VW) is in the process of finalising plans to re-establish a production facility in the United States that is also likely to be used as Porsche's first production location on the continent. The United States is by far the biggest market for the Porsche Cayenne sports-utility vehicle (SUV), with the model selling almost three times as many vehicles there than any other market. However, as a result of the continuing weakness of the U.S. dollar Porsche is finding its repatriated profits are shrinking. For a company that owes so much of its financial success to its highly sophisticated and successful currency hedging strategies, this state of affairs has proved unsatisfactory. As a result Porsche, which will increase its current 31% stake in VW to a majority stake in September or October of this year once regulatory approval has been obtained, is looking to benefit from VW's efforts to re-establish a production location in the United States. When interviewed by Automotive News Europe VW spokesperson Andreas Meurer said, "When we discuss whether to build the [VW] Touareg and [Audi] Q7 in the USA, we also talk about the Cayenne." The Touareg, Q7 and the Cayenne all share the same basic platform and are currently manufactured in VW's manufacturing plant in Slovakia. However, it is likely that initially the VW Jetta will be built at the new U.S. plant alongside a new sedan, which is likely to be based on the Passat platform. The company is currently looking at a number of sites in the United States for the new facility, with Alabama, Tennessee and Michigan all leading contenders to be chosen as the new plant's location, with the final going before the board in July to be signed off (see United States: 13 May 2008: VW to Decide on U.S. Plant in July—Report).

Why Porsche is looking to Build the Cayenne in the U.S.

Country/Sales

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

U.S.

12,921

18,116

13,607

10,569

12,547

Germany

5,101

6,027

5,384

4,101

4,832

China

45

261

625

1,930

3,530

Russia

194

275

714

1,293

2,254

U.A.E.

169

542

1,247

1,265

2,014

Italy

1,527

2,546

2,655

1,276

1,656

U.K.

1,797

2,831

2,513

1,561

1,641

Spain

955

1,663

1,751

1,245

1,337

Japan

577

1,135

1,123

819

1,156

France

796

1,288

1,206

637

953

Source: Global Insight

The new U.S. factory is the core component of VW's hugely ambitious strategy to bolster its vehicle sales in the country from the current level of 230,000 to 800,000 by 2018. This U.S. drive is also central to the company's plan to challenge Toyota as the world's largest volume carmaker by that point. However, it is a risky strategy as the U.S. market is currently in decline and is also suffering further downward pressure on sales as a result of the credit crunch and the hugely negative effect that this has had on the U.S. housing market. However, VW is ploughing ahead undeterred with a new U.S. strategy to supplement the decision to re-establish production in the United States, after closing its last factory in the country in 1998. Speaking in September, Stefan Jacoby, the President and CEO of VW of America said, "The new strategy is based on five pillars: the development of products specifically designed for the US market, a change in brand positioning, realignment of the dealer network and our own organization and, finally, the possibility of local production to reduce exposure to exchange rates."

Outlook and Implications

Porsche's buyout of VW which is likely to be completed in the second half of 2008 is likely to see it take advantage of VW's ambitious plans for expansion in the U.S. market. It makes complete sense for Porsche to manufacture the Cayenne in its best-selling market, which is also suffering from a comparatively weak currency against the strength of the euro. However, this strategy is not without risk for Porsche. The new plant will come on line in 2010, which should coincide with the launch of the second generation Cayenne, but the affluent and aspirational consumers that make up the premium SUV market are alive to new trends and may have moved onto new products and segments. For example, Porsche will no doubt be extremely wary of the effect that the new BMW X6 will have on Cayenne demand. The environmental lobby is also gaining momentum by the day in the United States and this may cause certain demographic groups to consider their vehicle purchases more carefully. However, the next generation Cayenne will have a production version of the hybrid concept that debuted at last year's Los Angeles Auto Show.

The overall strategy of VW and Porsche to re-establish production in the United States is sound and one that other German premium carmakers are pursuing with BMW recently announcing that it intends to move its entire SUV production to its Spartanburg plant by 2010, which will eventually see the company build 240,000 units per annum (see United States: 11 March 2008: BMW to Spend US$750 mil. on Expanding Production at Spartanburg). However, there are still some concerns about the suitability of VW's model line-up for the U.S. market, and much will depend on the new Passat-sized sedan that is being developed exclusively for the U.S. market.
 
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